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Earthquake-and-landslide events are associated with more fatalities than earthquakes alone

机译:地震和滑坡事件与单独的地震造成的死亡人数相关

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摘要

Natural hazards are natural processes of the complex Earth system and may interact and affect each other. Often a single hazard can trigger a subsequent, different hazard, such as earthquakes triggering landslides. The effect of such cascading hazards has received relatively little attention in the literature. The majority of previous research has focused on single hazards in isolation, and even multi-hazard risk assessment currently does not account for the interaction between hazards, therefore ignoring potential amplification effects. Global earthquake-and-landslide fatality data were used to model cascading events to explore relationships between the number of fatalities during single and cascading events and covariates. A multivariate statistical approach was used to model the relationship between earthquake fatalities and several covariates. The covariates included earthquake magnitude, gross domestic product, slope, poverty, health, access to cities, exposed population to earthquake shaking, building strength and whether a landslide was triggered or not. Multivariate regression analysis showed the numbers of earthquake fatalities are significantly affected by whether a subsequent landslide is triggered or not.
机译:自然灾害是复杂地球系统的自然过程,并且可能相互作用并相互影响。通常,单一灾害会引发随后的不同灾害,例如地震引发滑坡。这种级联危害的影响在文献中很少受到关注。以前的大多数研究都集中在隔离单个危害上,甚至多危害风险评估目前也没有考虑到危害之间的相互作用,因此忽略了潜在的放大效应。使用全球地震和滑坡死亡数据对级联事件进行建模,以探讨单个事件和级联事件中的死亡人数与协变量之间的关系。使用多元统计方法来模拟地震死亡人数和几个协变量之间的关系。协变量包括地震震级,国内生产总值,坡度,贫困,健康状况,进入城市,遭受地震震动的人口,建筑强度以及是否引发了滑坡。多元回归分析表明,地震死亡人数受是否引发后续滑坡的影响很大。

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